A new indicator—the Inflation Shock Momentum Index—can help identify emerging inflationary or disinflationary pressures in ...

The new SF Fed Policy Calibration Tool is designed to help construct a monetary policy path that aligns with one’s views of ...

The Board of Governors and the Federal Reserve Banks annually prepare and release audited financial statements reflecting balances (as of December 31) and income and expenses for the year then ended.

The Inflation Shock Momentum Index (ISMI) updates data on coordinated directional pressure across the distribution of category-level inflation rates. This monthly indicator is intended to track ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. Market-Based Monetary Uncertainty provides daily indicators measuring the uncertainty about future short-term interest rates based on ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. Treasury Yield Skewness is a daily indicator measuring the risks to the future outlook for interest rates, based on prices of Treasury ...

Aaron “Ronnie” Chatterji, chief economist at OpenAI and Sylvain Leduc, director of economic research at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, held a live discussion on the economic value of AI in ...

A new group of research associates (RAs) joins the Economic Research team every year, bringing fresh perspectives and an excitement to learn from professional economists and others working at the SF ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. The U.S. Monetary Policy Event-Study Database (USMPD) collects high-frequency changes of interest rates and asset prices around Federal ...

Interest Rate Probability Distributions Implied by Derivatives Prices is a daily measure of the distribution of future short-term interest rates, calculated from prices of fixed-income derivatives ...